http://www.legrandsoir.info/article.php3?id_article=4529
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At-a-glance: The Stern Review |
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The world has to
act now on climate change or face devastating economic consequences,
according to a report compiled by Sir Nicholas Stern for the Here are the key points of the review written by the former chief
economist of the World Bank. TEMPERATURE · Carbon emissions have already
pushed up global temperatures by half a degree Celsius · If no action is taken on
emissions, there is more than a 75% chance of global temperatures rising
between two and three degrees Celsius over the next 50 years · There is a 50% chance that
average global temperatures could rise by five degrees Celsius ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT · Melting glaciers will increase
flood risk · Crop yields will decline,
particularly in Africa · Rising sea levels could leave
200 million people permanently displaced · Up to 40% of species could
face extinction · There will be more examples of
extreme weather patterns ECONOMIC IMPACT · Extreme weather could reduce
global gross domestic product (GDP) by up to 1% · A two to three degrees Celsius
rise in temperatures could reduce global economic output by 3% · If temperatures rise by five
degrees Celsius, up to 10% of global output could be lost. The poorest
countries would lose more than 10% of their output · In the worst case scenario
global consumption per head would fall 20% · To stabilise at manageable
levels, emissions would need to stabilise in the next 20 years and fall
between 1% and 3% after that. This would cost 1% of GDP OPTIONS FOR CHANGE · Reduce consumer demand for
heavily polluting goods and services · Make global energy supply more
efficient · Act on non-energy emissions -
preventing further deforestation would go a long way towards alleviating this
source of carbon emissions · Promote cleaner energy and
transport technology, with non-fossil fuels accounting for 60% of energy
output by 2050 GOVERNMENT RESPONSE · Create a global market for
carbon pricing · Extend the European Emissions
Trading Scheme (EETS) globally, bringing in countries such as the US, India
and China · Set new target for EETS to
reduce carbon emissions by 30% by 2020 and 60% by 2050 · Pass a bill to enshrine carbon
reduction targets and create a new independent body to monitor progress · Create a new commission to
spearhead British company investment in green technology, with the aim of
creating 100,000 new jobs · Former US vice-president Al
Gore will advise the government on the issue · Work with the World Bank and
other financial institutions to create a $20bn fund to help poor countries
adjust to climate change challenges · Work with Brazil, Papua New
Guinea and Costa Rica to promote sustainable forestry and prevent
deforestation
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